NFL odds Week 16: Greatest bets for Packers-Dolphins, Commanders-49ers

Sam Panayotovich

FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst

We’ve reached that time of the NFL season when extra video games are performed on Saturday than Sunday. Solely three video games go off on Christmas Day. Please don’t overlook this as you’re putting your bets for Week 16.

Our greatest bets (36-32-1) are within the inexperienced, and I’m rolling with three performs over the weekend. This area isn’t the place for 1,000,000 picks or five-team parlays, both. These are the video games I like probably the most.

Let’s go to work with odds courtesy of FOX Guess.

New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings

Lastly, the Giants received their eighth sport.

I used to be sweating my “Over 7” season win tickets for a couple of month, and now I can sleep at night time after New York’s upset over Washington on Sunday. Massive Blue coated once more as an underdog (they’re 8-2 ATS when catching factors), which is additional proof that Brian Daboll’s workers takes care of enterprise.

In the meantime, Minnesota continues to development within the flawed course. The Vikings’ protection has been shredded in 5 straight video games, and the Purple Individuals Eaters wanted the biggest comeback in NFL historical past to beat the lowly Colts.

I respect the oddsmakers’ respect for New York on this spot.  

Take the factors.

PICK: Giants (+4.5 at FOX Guess) to lose by fewer than 4.5 factors (or win outright)

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Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers

“For those who should win, it’s essential to not be that good.”

Legendary Las Vegas bookmaker Chris Andrews dropped that quote on me years in the past once I lived out within the desert, and I’ve been borrowing it ever since. It’s an amazing angle to make use of late within the NFL common season when groups are combating for playoff positions and look like in “must-win” spots.

Factor is, Washington’s playoff hopes have diminished as a result of the crew previously often known as the Soccer Group didn’t care for enterprise at residence final Sunday night time in opposition to the New York Giants. Now they’ve obtained to hit the freeway and face top-of-the-line defenses within the league with All-Professionals everywhere in the discipline.  

Taylor Heinicke is a superb story, and Chase Younger is again from injured reserve, however I nonetheless don’t care. The carriage is about to show right into a pumpkin.

Give me San Francisco by two scores.

PICK: 49ers (-6.5 at FOX Guess) to win by greater than 6.5 factors

Inexperienced Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins

Simply once I thought I used to be out, they pull me again in.

The Packers’ spectacular win Monday night time in opposition to the Rams has me enthusiastic about them making a playoff push. That’s how sick I’m. However critically, Inexperienced Bay’s offensive line and broad receivers are collectively as wholesome as they’ve been all season, which makes life simpler on Aaron Rodgers.

Rodgers is without end harmful in these conditions, and I might a lot moderately again the Packers than lay factors with Tua Tagovailoa and the struggling Dolphins. Miami has dropped three straight video games [albeit against playoff-caliber teams], and we’ll see the way it handles the stress on Sunday.

I feel the Cheeseheads pull the upset.

PICK: Packers (+3.5 at FOX Guess) to lose by fewer than 3.5 factors (or win outright)

Sam Panayotovich is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and NESN. He beforehand labored for WGN Radio, NBC Sports activities and VSiN. He’ll in all probability decide in opposition to your favourite crew. Observe him on Twitter @spshoot.

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